Bullish on oil

Historical chart of the U.S. federal funds rate.
Image via Wikipedia

Even deflationists like me agree that there will be inflation - but its all about the timing. But while we wait for the mother of all monetary tsunamis, why not nibble on oil, gold while they are still relatively cheap ?

In my quest to find a good entry point for oil, I broke one of my rules of not making any trades on Fed days. I used the “sell the news” on Oil to pick up a position in the OIL ETF at $25.74, which corresponds to a Crude Oil price of approximately $44.51. I intend to add to this position if Oil dips further from here (a visit to $40 is not entirely unlikely).

(Click on chart to zoom)

NEVER intended as investment advice. Read my disclaimer.

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2 comments ↓

#1 Amit C on 12.19.08 at 7:01 pm

Hi Sumedh,

What timeframe do you have in mind? What is the expected increase?

Amit

#2 sumedh on 01.07.09 at 3:11 am

This is intended as a longer term investment (1-3 years).

And - I don’t do price targets. :)

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