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A friend asked me at a party the other day - “What can those of us who are not economic news junkies like you learn from this crisis ?”
There is only one answer to this question - “No matter how you create your wealth - you need to have a well thought-out strategy to help you 1) identify the dangers to your wealth, and 2) to select the steps you will take to protect your wealth. Without this strategy, you will become easy prey for the bigger animals in the economic food chain.”
And for those of us who are lucky enough to be economic news junkies in this environment, every day brings rewards and new lessons that can be learned.
Consider - today for the first time in history - US 3 month treasury bill rates went negative:
If you invested $1 million in three-month bills at todays negative discount rate of 0.01 percent, for a price of 100.002556, at maturity you would receive the par value for a loss of $25.56.
The bond market is pricing in a deflationary depression, and the stock market is optimistic. My money is on the bond market getting it right.










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